Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Texas Rangers -113

I'll go back to the Texas Rangers today after cashing them in Game 1 of this series over the Oakland A's.  We are getting the defending champs at basically even money here against one of the worst teams in baseball in the A's which is a good value.

The Rangers have gone 6-2 in their last eight games overall.  They are short favorites because they are starting Jose Urena, who will be making his first start of the season.  But Urena had a great spring training and has held his own out of the bullpen with a 4.35 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 20 2/3 innings this season.

I'll gladly fade Ross Stripling, who is 1-5 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Stripling is 0-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three career starts against Texas.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 14 base runners in 6 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Rangers on April 10th in his last start against them.  Bet the Rangers Tuesday.

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20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Pirates -121

The Los Angeles Angels are in a world of hurt right now without Mike Trout.  They have scored exactly one run in four of their last five games.  They are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall and getting way too much respect here against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates have won three consecutive games and I like what I've seen from Quinn Priester in his last two starts.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in those two starts and will shut down the Angels today.

I'll gladly fade Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-5 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in four road starts.  The Pirates are 8-4 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 4.4 runs per game against them.

The Angels are 4-16 in Sandoval's last 20 starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the Pirates Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rays OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays came to life at the plate over the weekend scoring a total of 28 runs in their last four games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have come to life at the plate over the last two weeks, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last 10 games overall.  Both offenses should stay hot against these two starting pitchers.

Mike Soroka is 0-3 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in seven starts for the White Sox this season.  Zach Eflin is 1-4 with a 4.17 ERA in seven starts this season for the Rays and has already allowed 6 homers in 41 innings.  Eflin allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings of a 9-4 loss to the White Sox back on April 26th.

The OVER is 11-5 in White Sox last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 16 games.  The OVER is 9-5 in Rays last 14 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 8-0 in Soroka's last eight starts in the first half of the season.  The OVER is 7-0 in Soroka's seven starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Dodgers OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving the Los Angeles Dodgers.  They are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall, 5.8 runs per game at home and 6.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  They are capable of covering this 7.5-run total on their own tonight.

Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Washington at home.  Cabrera allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to the Dodgers in his lone career start against them.

The Marlins have scored a total of 19 runs in their last three games and have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  They will chip in enough to get this one up and OVER this 7.5-run total.

The Dodgers are 11-2 OVER at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-136)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 12-2 in their last 14 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-27 on the season.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in seven starts this season with 42 K's in 34 innings.  He has fired 12 shutout innings in his last two starts coming in.

Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Washington at home.  Cabrera allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to the Dodgers in his lone career start against them.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Mavericks/Thunder TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 218

This is a very low total between the Mavericks and Thunder in Game 1 of this series tonight when you compare this total to the totals from the regular season.  The Mavericks and Thunder had totals of 233.5, 235.5 and 238.5 in their three meetings prior to the Mavericks resting all their starters with a total of 226.5 in the regular season finale.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 221 or more combined points in all eight meetings, which would make for an 8-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 218-point total.  They combined for 246, 257 and 245 points in their three regular season meetings in which both teams were near fully healthy and playing all their starters.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Tuesday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)

The San Francisco Giants have a big advantage on the mound over the Colorado Rockies tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  The Rockies are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and have scored a total of 11 runs in their last six games overall.

Jordan Hicks is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Hicks is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in seven starts for the Giants, allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 38 innings.  He will shut down the ice cold Rockies tonight.

I'll gladly fade Peter Lambert, who is 0-1 with a 14.22 ERA and 2.21 WHIP in two starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 14 base runners in 6 1/3 innings.  Lambert is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four career starts against San Francisco.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Giants in his last start against them.

Colorado is 8-27 in all games this season and getting outscored by 2.4 runs per game.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-121)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 11 wins by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound this afternoon over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-28 on the season.

Gavin Stone is 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in six starts for the Dodgers this season.  He'll be opposed by Ryan Weathers, who is 2-3 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his last three.  Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are 30-7 in their last 37 home games off two or more consecutive wins and outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rays OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays have come to life at the plate scoring a total of 33 runs in their last five games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have come to life at the plate over the last two weeks, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last 11 games overall.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving these two awful starting pitchers tonight.

Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 2/3 innings.  Civale has been brutal in his last three starts, going 0-1 with an 11.85 ERA and 2.05 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the White Sox on April 27th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-7 defeat as a -180 favorite.

Chris FLexen is 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs, 4 homers and 36 base runners in 23 1/3 innings with only 13 K's.  Civale is 22-8 OVER at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs in his career.  Flexen is 9-1 OVER in his last 10 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest.  Flexen is 16-3 OVER in his last 19 starts overall.  Flexen is 10-1 OVER In his last 11 starts against a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +210

I'll take a shot with the Chicago White Sox today as better than 2-to-1 underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays because Aaron Civale has no business being this big of a favorite against anyone.  The White Sox will also be motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series.

Civale is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 2/3 innings.  Civale has been brutal in his last three starts, going 0-1 with an 11.85 ERA and 2.05 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the White Sox on April 27th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-7 defeat as a -180 favorite.

Chris Flexen is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts against the Rays, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 18 1/3 innings.  He faced Tampa Bay on April 26th and pitched 5 shutout innings of a 9-4 victory as a +200 underdog.  The value is too good to pass up today.  Bet the White Sox Wednesday.

15* Pacers/Knicks TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 218.5

There's a ton of value on the OVER in Game 2 today when you compare this total to the three totals from the regular season.  The Pacers and Knicks had totals of 234.5, 235.5 and 248.5 in their three regular season meetings.  The total of 217.5 was too low in Game 1 as these teams combined for 238 points, and the total of 218.5 in Game 2 is too low as well.

The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with 232 or more combined points in six of those seven meetings.  The one game that didn't get to 232 or more the Knicks shot 39.8% from the floor and 21.1% from 3.  That's what it is going to take to keep this one under 218.5 combined points.

The Knicks have been playing playoff basketball for a long time now as they were fighting hard for the No. 2 seed in the East.  That's important because the OVER is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games overall.  In fact, the OVER is 16-2-1 in their last 19 games overall dating back further.  They have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team.

The Pacers just basically played the Bucks without Giannis for the entire series and without Lillard for most of it.  They went 4-1 OVER in their final five games in that series with 218 or more combined points in four of the five.  The Pacers are 10-2 OVER in their last 12 games overall dating back further.  They are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 2nd in the NBA in pace with an elite offense and suspect defense.  This is a very low total for a game involving Indiana.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 Wednesday.